February 21, 2024

2023 Pittsburgh Steelers Win Over Season / Subseason Total Predictions and Odds


Pittsburgh Steelers overall prediction winner

The 2022 Pittsburgh Steelers went 9-8 and narrowly missed out on a spot in the AFC playoffs. It marked Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin’s 16th consecutive undefeated season.

Can Pittsburgh match or better last season’s win total and make a playoff push in one of football’s better divisions?

Total Pittsburgh Steelers Win Odds via BetMGM

More than 8.5 -150

Below 8.5 + 125

Current NFL Futures Odds

Summary of the 2022 season

The Steelers had an up and down season in 2022. Pittsburgh went just 2-6 through the first eight weeks of the season. That stretch loss coincided with the loss of the edge rush TJ Watt, That missed weeks 2 to 8. Pittsburgh then had their bye week in Week 9. They finished the year 9-8 after a disastrous start to the season. Pittsburgh started a combination of Mitchell Trubisky and the rookie Kenny Pickett At quarterback, the latter performed fairly well for a rookie as Pickett threw for 2,404 yards, seven touchdowns and nine interceptions while averaging 6.2 yards per pass. Pickett posted a 76.7 passer rating and a 51.5 QBR. He wasn’t spectacular, but he could become an above-average starter in his second year with the Steelers in 2023.

Preview of the 2023 season

Exit of key players: CB Cameron Sutton, LB Devin Bush, IDL Chris Wormley, S Terrell Edmunds, LB Robert Spillane, CB Arthur Maulet

Key players added: G Isaac Seumalo, WR Allen Robinson III, S Keanu Neal, CB Patrick Patterson, G Nate Herbig, LB Allendon Roberts, T Broderick Jones (1st round pick), CB Joey Porter Jr. (2nd round pick), I.D. El Keanu Benton (2nd round pick), TE Darnell Washington (3rd round pick)

Pittsburgh’s offense had a lot going for it last season, as the Steelers lacked explosiveness on that side of the ball. Pittsburgh had just 4.9 yards per play, which ranked 27th in the league last season. Additionally, the Steelers ranked 25th in yards per rushing attempt (4.1) and 14th in quarterback sack percentage (6.24%). They responded by adding guards Isaac Seumalo and Nate Herbig in free agency and acquiring Georgia tackle Broderick Jones through the draft. Pittsburgh’s offensive line was a weak link last season, but could be a strength this year. If Pittsburgh’s offense shows significant improvement, it could lead to a cascading effect, where Kenny Pickett plays better and Steelers running back Naji Harris parlays his stellar first two seasons into a third straight year in 2023. He runs for 1,000 yards.

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The most significant losses in the secondary for Pittsburgh came this offseason. Cornerback Cameron Sutton left to sign with the Lions, but former Vikings cornerback Patrick Patterson will replace him. Peterson had five interceptions and 14 forced fumbles for Minnesota last year in one of his best seasons as a pro. Former Steelers safety Terrell Edmunds is gone, but Pittsburgh signed former Buccaneers safety Keanu Neal to replace him. Neal is a former first-round pick out of Florida in 2016, and he’ll have something to prove in 2023. Pittsburgh had the first pick of the second round in the 2023 NFL Draft. With that pick, they selected Penn State cornerback Joey Porter Jr., Porter Sr. Joey Porter. Joey Porter Jr. should be Pittsburgh’s starting left cornerback on the first day of training camp. Pittsburgh still has one of the better free safeties in the NFL in Minkah Fitzpatrick, and his range should go a long way toward covering some of the holes that a young secondary will inevitably create.

Key takeaways from coaching: Brian Flores, Senior Assistant Defensive Lines Coach/Defensive Lines Coach John Mitchell Assistant Head Coach/Assistant Linebackers Coach Jerry Olsavsky, Inside Lines Coach

Key Coaching Promotions/Extras: Aaron Curry, linebackers coach, Jason Brooks, defensive quality control coach, Denzel Martin, linebackers coach (promotion)

Things will remain largely the same for Steelers head coach Mike Tomlin and the rest of his coaching staff. The biggest change is the retirement of assistant head coach/assistant defensive line coach John Mitchell. Mitchell had been with the Steelers since 1994 and retired as one of the most respected and successful assistant coaches in franchise history.

Another big change is that former Miami Dolphins head coach Brian Flores is leaving to become the Minnesota Vikings’ defensive coordinator. Flores only spent one season in Pittsburgh, so it’s difficult to actually quantify his impact.

Instead of Flores, Pittsburgh drafted Aaron Curry in the first round in 2009 to coach the inside linebackers and promoted former assistant outside linebackers coach Denzel Martin to the club’s outside linebackers coach. Curry spent the past four seasons as an assistant coach with Seattle, and 2023 will be his first season as an NFL position coach. He previously coached the defensive line for the Charlotte College football team from 2015-2018.

The Steelers largely kept things going on the offensive side of the ball. This was probably done on purpose to help the development of their young quarterback Kenny Pickett. Pittsburgh offensive coordinator Matt Canada and quarterbacks coach Mike Sullivan will each be in their third seasons at their current positions in 2023, ideally making things easier for Kenny Pickett and Pittsburgh’s young offensive line. he does.

NFL Over/Under Prediction

Pittsburgh coach Mike Tomlin has never had a losing season in his 16 years as the head coach of the Steelers. He has gone 8-8 three times and won at least 10 games nine times. Mike Tomlin always seems to find a way to avoid having a losing season. The second half of last season was promising and gave Pittsburgh a chance to build on 2023.

The schedule isn’t too daunting for the Steelers as they play in the AFC South and NFC West with swing games against the Packers at home, Patriots at home, and Raiders on the road. The Pro Football Network ranks Pittsburgh’s schedule as the 19th toughest schedule, which means it’s slightly easier than average. The Steelers’ regular season records over the past three seasons are as follows: 12-4, 9-7-1, 9-8. To get more money, all Pittsburgh needs to do is match last season’s nine-game winning streak and extend Mike Tomlin’s undefeated streak to 17 straight years. Since Pittsburgh will be playing several games against teams that are either rebuilding or not very good, I think the Steelers can have a winning record in 2023 and benefit from a regular season total of 8.5 wins. to take

NFL OVER/UNDER WIN TOTAL PREDICTION: Pittsburgh Steelers over 8.5 WINS -150

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