Predicting a total Washington victory
The Washington Huskies had a great season in 2022. Washington went 11-2 in new head coach Cullen DeBoer’s first season and defeated Texas 27-20 in the Alamo Bowl.
Can the Huskies win 10 regular season games for the second straight year in 2023?
Total Washington Huskies Win Odds via BetMGM
Over 9.5 + 115
Below 9.5 -135
Current NCAAF Futures Odds
Summary of the 2022 season
Washington started the season 4-0 in 2022, then dropped back-to-back road trips to UCLA and Arizona State. The Huskies then won their final seven games of the 2022 season, including ranked wins over Oregon, Oregon State and Texas. The star of the show for Washington was the Indiana transfer defender Michael Pennix Jr Penix finished second in the nation with 4,641 passing yards last season. He also threw for 31 touchdowns and eight interceptions while averaging 8.4 yards per pass and posting a 151.3 passer rating. Pennix previously worked with Washington’s head coach Colin DeBoer While both were in Indiana, the combination of the two helped Washington’s offense reach untold heights last season. The Huskies ranked ninth in the nation in yards per game and 10th in the nation in points per game in 2022. Penix elected to return for his senior season, and according to BetMGM he is the fourth-ranked candidate to win the Heisman Trophy. This has the potential to be a big year for Washington as they compete for the Pac-12 title in their final year in the conference.
Preview of the 2023 season
Exit of key players: OG Jaxson Kirkland, DE Jeremiah Martin, CB Jordan Perryman, DB Alex Cook, OL Corey Luciano, LB Cam Bright, QB Sam Huard, EDGE Sav’ell Smalls, IOL Myles Murao, RB Wayne Taulapapa
Key players added: RB Dillon Johnson, RB Daniyel Ngata, WR Germie Bernard, EDGE Zach Durfee, CB Jabbar Muhammad, OT Jalen Klemm, LB Ralen Goforth, CB Thaddeus Dixon, WR Rashid Williams, QB Alex Johnson
Washington did not lose any players to the NFL draft. However, they had several undrafted players on NFL rosters as free agents. It shows that the Huskies haven’t lost the elite talent from last year’s team. Washington QB Michael Penix Jr. was outstanding last season, and the Huskies have added some skill players that could help him make a comeback in 2023. Former Mississippi State quarterback Dillon Johnson and former Arizona State quarterback Daniel Ngata both have plenty of players to go through. Cameron Davis, who ran for 522 yards and 13 touchdowns last season. Washington also signed Michigan State wide receiver Germie Bernard, who should be the backup Z receiver for the Huskies in 2023. He also had six punt returns for 119 yards in 2022 as a member of the Spartans. Huskies running backs Jalen McMillan and Rome Odunze both had over 1,000 receiving yards last year and both will return to Seattle for another season looking to improve. From last year’s successes, Washington’s wide receiver corps is one of the best in the country.
Despite losing several defensive players to the NFL and the transfer portal, Washington’s defense should still perform well in 2023. That’s because the Huskies will likely start seven seniors, three redshirt juniors and a redshirt sophomore on defense. That experience will likely come in handy when the going gets tough at the end of the conference season. The biggest addition to the club at that position is former Oklahoma State cornerback Jabar Muhammad. Muhammad totaled 46 tackles, an interception and nine passes defensed for the Cowboys last year, and he should make an immediate impact in a Huskies secondary that averaged 8.1 yards per pass last season.
Key takeaways from coaching: No significant coaching separation
Key Coaching Promotions/Extras: No significant coaching added
Washington head coach Cullen DuBore’s first year in Seattle was a resounding success. The Huskies went 11-2 and won a bowl game, with their only two losses coming by a combined 15 points. It seems obvious that DeBoer is building something sustainable and worth believing in in the Pacific Northwest. Often times when a team has a losing season, their coordinators are poached by other schools looking for a new head coach. Despite Washington’s tremendous offensive play in 2022, the Huskies were able to keep their offensive coordinator and all of their position coaches on staff. It’s possible that DeBoer will assemble a great staff, and several offensive line coaches will want to play it all out until the end of star QB Michael Penix Jr.’s career. to see The Penix themselves are likely back for a conference championship run and maybe even a potential playoff berth.
On defense, the Huskies decided to split the defensive coordinator duties between two coaches. Assistant head coach/linebackers coach William Inge is one of the co-defensive coordinators, while safeties coach Chuck Morrell is the other co-defensive coordinator. Only Inge had previous defensive coordinator experience at the FBS level as he was the only defensive coordinator at the University of Buffalo for two years and held that role for two years at Fresno State. Chuck Morrell was the defensive coordinator at the University of Sioux Falls for over a decade and one season at South Dakota. Both men held Washington’s defense to 69th in opponents’ points per game last season, but they should do better in their second year in their current roles as they become more familiar with their roster and the conference as a whole. In the ever-changing landscape of college football, sometimes continuity can be the difference between playing for a conference championship or ending up a lesser game in late December. The return of the Huskies’ entire coaching staff bodes well for their chances in 2023.
NCAA football over/under predictions
According to Sports Betting Dime, Washington has the nation’s 32nd toughest schedule in 2023. The Huskies avoided playing USC and Utah last season, but will face both clubs this year. Assuming Washington doesn’t face any lesser foes, they only need to win 2 of 4 against Oregon and Utah at home and USC and Oregon State on the road. Washington beat both Oregon and Oregon State last year, and I could easily see them beating both schools again. Washington will almost certainly have the offensive firepower to deal with USC, and they will likely be able to score against Utah.
But since Washington’s schedule is loaded, you probably know if they’re going to win 10 games before they play USC on Nov. 4. If Washington goes 6-2 in that game, you’ll have a chance to protect the Huskies that week against USC or any of the following games against Utah, Oregon State or Washington State in the final week of the regular season. do. . Because of the schedule change, I like Washington to win regular season games by double digits for the second year in a row. Better luck than even money just sweetens the deal for me. I have over 9.5 regular season wins for the Huskies in 2023.
Total NCAA Football Over/Under Win Predictions: Washington Huskies over 9.5 to win +115