Unranked Baylor travels to Cincinnati to face the Bearcats at 12:00 PM ET Saturday on the Big 12/ESPN+ Network. Can the Bearcats cover the 3.5 point spread as home favorites this weekend? Baylor vs Cincinnati betting prediction shows you today’s winner.
Baylor is 2-4 straight up and 1-4-1 against the spread this season. Their best win came against UCF and their worst loss came against Texas State.
Cincinnati is 2-4 straight up and 2-4 against the spread this season. Their best win was against Pittsburgh and their worst loss was against Miami of Ohio.
Baylor vs. Cincinnati betting odds
333 Baylor Bears (+3.5) at 334 Cincinnati Bearcats (-3.5); o/u 49.5
12:00 PM ET, Saturday, October 21, 2023
Nippert Stadium, Cincinnati, OH
TV: Big 12 Network/ESPN+
Baylor vs Cincinnati general betting prediction
As of this writing, our CFB public betting page shows that 63% of bets are in Cincinnati. However, this page is updated frequently, so be sure to click on the link provided to get the most up-to-date information.
Baylor Bears game notes
Baylor’s starting linebacker Mike Smith Jr He will miss the rest of the season with a torn ACL. The redshirt sophomore has totaled 24 tackles, one sack and one pass defensed in five games for the Bears this season.
Baylor receiver Monari Baldwin was one of the team’s few bright spots in the Bears’ 39-17 home loss to Texas Tech on Oct. 7. In that game, Baldwin hauled in 5 passes for 126 yards and a touchdown. For the season, Monterey Baldwin leads the team with 17 catches and leads Baylor in receiving yards with 404 yards.
Cincinnati Bearcats game notes
Cincinnati reserve returning Ryan Montgomery He has missed the team’s last two games with an undisclosed injury, and he is listed as questionable for Saturday’s tilt at Baylor. Ryan Montgomery has 30 carries for 135 yards and 2 catches for 25 yards in 4 games for the Bearcats this season.
Bearcats linebacker Daniel Grziak played well in his team’s 30-10 loss to Iowa State last weekend. In that game, the senior from Los Angeles recorded 7 tackles and 2 sacks. Grziak leads Cincinnati with 3.5 sacks on the season.
Baylor vs Cincinnati betting trends
Baylor is 2-7-1 ATS in their last 10 games.
Down from 2018 in Cincinnati games 40-30.
The under is 6-4 in Baylor’s last 10 games.
Baylor vs Cincinnati betting prediction
It’s hard to quantify just how bad Baylor has been. The Bears are 121st in points per punt (-0.250) and 121st in yards per punt (-7.8). Baylor averages 1.4 turnovers per game, which ranks 68th nationally. In addition, Baylor is allowing 4.9 yards per opposing rush, which ranks 108th nationally.
This last figure plays into Cincinnati’s hands. The Bearcats lost their last game against Iowa State, largely because their quarterback, Emory Jones, had two interceptions and converted just 4 of 16 third and fourth downs. Cincinnati should be able to run the ball effectively against Baylor. The Bearcats average 4.6 yards per rushing attempt, which ranks 42nd in the nation. And Cincinnati has two running backs averaging 5 yards per carry, in addition to QB Emory Jones, who has rushed for 352 yards and 3 touchdowns this season. I like the Bearcats to get back on track against a lowly Bears team on Saturday.