The Bucs vs Lions spread has gone back and forth between 6 and 6.5. Will Detroit punch its ticket to the NFC Championship with a win? Or is Tampa Bay a smarter bet as an underdog?
Chances of playing and betting
315 Tampa Bay Bucs (+6.5) at 316 Detroit Lions (-6.5); o/u 49.5
3:00 PM ET, Sunday, January 21, 2024
Ford Field, Detroit, MI
Bucs vs. Lions: Bettors favor Detroit, but only slightly
Our NFL Public Betting Information page shows that 52% of public bettors are currently backing the Lions. However, this information may change throughout the day, so be sure to check the link for the most up-to-date public betting data.
Strong performance against former team
Jared Goff Completed 22 of 27 passes for 277 yards and a touchdown in the Lions' 24-23 wildcard win over the Rams. Goff won the revenge game between the two quarterbacks against their former teams, leading the Lions to their first playoff win in 32 years.
Detroit controlled the game in the first half, which led to little passing for Goff, although the veteran quarterback was able to complete a touchdown late in the second quarter before changing his offensive philosophy. The triple-seeded Lions host the winner of the Eagles-Buccaneers game in the divisional round next week.
The Bucs list Barrett as questionable to face the Lions
Buccaneers are mentioned Shakeel Barrett (ankle) as doubtful for Sunday's group game against the Lions.
Barrett was a DNP on Wednesday and Thursday but signed up for a limited session on Friday to close out the week. Barrett played in the Bucks' wild card win against the Eagles but did not record a tackle on any of his 44 snaps. We expect him to be fit on Sunday, barring any setbacks. In addition to Barrett, the Buccaneers also listed Chase Edmonds (toe) as questionable.
Bucs vs. Lions betting trends
Lions are 7-3 in their last 10 games overall
The under is 4-1 in Lions last 5 playoff games
Under is 4-0 in Buccaneers last 4 games overall
Under is 25-9 in Buccaneers last 34 vs. NFC
Bucs vs Lions Prediction:
Take Tampa Bay. The Lions are just 1-4 against the spread in their last five playoff games, which includes a coverage failure last Sunday night against the Rams. Meanwhile, the Bucks are 39-19-1 against the spread in their last 59 road games against a team with a winning home record. Tampa Bay is also 8-1 in their last 9 road games in the window, a perfect 4-0 in their last 4 stretch when on the underdog, and 5 of their last seven playoff games. has covered
Bucs vs Lions NFL Prediction: TAMPA BAY BUCS +6.5