March 4, 2024

Sinner Rublev prediction, ATP Miami: Jannik wins with 1.53


Miami Masters 1000 Round of 16: Two wins each in the previous ones, but Jannik was eliminated in both losing challenges

The night brought us Lorenzo Sonego’s great win over Frances Tiafoe, but there is never a moment’s rest: on Tuesday at 5 p.m. it’s all about Jannik Sinner, who is chasing the pass for the quarter-finals at the Masters 1000 in Miami. The South Tyrolean’s opponent will be Andrey Rublev, seventh in the ranking and seed number 6 (Sinner is 10): Whoever wins will find one in the quarterfinals between Van de Zandschulp (who defeated Ruud) and Ruusuvuori, with a concrete possibility of reaching the semifinals.

The forecast

For Sinner, a win would be a confirmation of the goodness of his 2023 so far. Jannik is the seventh player in the race, a hit to Rublev would certainly overtake Cameron Norrie, who is eliminated from the tournament. The South Tyrolean lost only to top players: Tsitsipas at the Australian Open, Medvedev in Rotterdam and Alcaraz in Indian Wells and Korda in Adelaide at the beginning of the new year. In Miami he won against Djere and Dimitrov. Rublev instead prevailed against Wolf and Kecmanovic, having been knocked out by Norrie in the round of 16 at Indian Wells after losing the Dubai final to Medvedev. Neither player has dropped another set in the tournament but Sinner looks superior at the moment. Watch out for Jannik’s first set win with a handicap of -1.5, not the tiebreak (Sinner can injure Rublev): The odds are 1.83 for Better and GoldBet, 1.80 for Betfair.

Sinner Rublev Shares

Although Rublev has a better ranking than Sinner, all major bookmakers see Jannik as a favourite: the odds for the Italian’s success are 1.53 for Sisal, 1.52 for Better, 1.50 for Bet365. While the Russian’s victory is given at 2.63 by Bet365 and Betfair, 2.60 by Novibet. On the South Tyrolean side there are also the predecessors: two wins each, but Rublev’s both came through the resignation of Sinner (2020 in Vienna and last year in Roland Garros). Jannik prevailed in Barcelona in 2021 and in Monte Carlo in 2022.

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