February 21, 2024

Yankees vs. Braves, 8/16/23 MLB Odds, Predictions & Trends

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Yankees vs Braves Prediction

Charlie Morton will take the mound Wednesday night at Truist Park when his Braves host the Yankees at 7:20 PM ET. With the Braves listed as big home favorites and the total sitting at 9.5 runs, what’s the best bet in Atlanta tonight?

Chances of playing and betting

925 New York Yankees (+195) at 926 Atlanta Braves (-238); o/u 9.5

7:20 PM ET, Wednesday, August 16, 2023

Truist Park, Atlanta, GA

Yankees vs. Braves general betting information

As of writing this article, we Public MLB betting page It shows that 80% of bets are on the Braves money line. However, this page is updated frequently, so be sure to click on the link provided to get the most up-to-date information.

New York Yankees DFS SPIN

Jake BowersThe recent leadoff hitter went 0-for-3 against the Braves on Tuesday as the Yankees’ No. 5 hitter. Bauers has impressive exit velocity numbers, but he has had 32 plate appearances in 73 games over his last 18 games. The homers will likely keep coming, but he simply needs to keep his strikeout rate somewhat under control to remain useful.

Atlanta Braves DFS SPIN

Marcel Ozuna He went 2-for-2 with a three-run homer and two walks against the Yankees on Tuesday. The Braves scored five runs tonight on Ozuna’s three-run homer in the first and Ronald Acuna’s two-run shot in the fourth. Ozuna was on base three more times, but it didn’t matter much, as the four under him in order all went hitless. Ozuna’s homer was his 24th in 103 games this season. He had 23 goals in 124 games last year.

Yankees vs Braves MLB Betting Trends

The total has gone under in 6 of the NY Yankees last 8 games against Atlanta.

NY Yankees are 10-4 SU in their last 14 games against Atlanta.

Atlanta is 8-1 ATS in their last nine home games

Atlanta is 8-1 SU in their last nine home games

Yankees vs Braves MLB betting predictions

Morton is hitless in his last five starts, posting a 1-4 record and 5.84 ERA over his last 24 2/3 innings. His biggest problem? 8.03 walk rate in that span. This is brutal. His 7.66 strikeout rate is good, but he gives up too many free passes and his 10.3% HR/FB rate is also in the wrong direction. As of this writing, the Yankees have yet to announce a starter, but whoever it is, he will face an Atlanta offense that has a 141 wRC+ over the last 30 days. That’s the highest in baseball, so the Braves will likely get crushed regardless of who is on the mound for the Yankees. Meanwhile, New York has a 99 wRC+ over the past 30 days, which is about average. But given Morton’s recent struggles, I like tonight’s game in Atlanta.

MLB betting prediction: YANKEES/Braves over 9.5

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